ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE HERMINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016
2100 UTC THU SEP 01 2016
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HERMINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8)
CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 3(10)
PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 3(11)
WORCESTER MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) 3(14)
SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) 3(14)
BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 4(14)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 8(15) 4(19)
HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 10(18) 4(22)
NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 8(15) 3(18)
PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 8(17) 2(19)
BRIDGEPORT CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 7(16) 3(19)
NEW HAVEN CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) 3(16)
NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 7(16) 4(20)
NEW LONDON CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
ALBANY NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 2( 9)
POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) 2(12)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 9(19) 3(22)
MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
MONTAUK POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 8(20) 2(22)
ISLIP NY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
ISLIP NY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 7(18) 3(21)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 7(17) 2(19)
NYC CNTRL PARK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 7(17) 2(19)
NEWARK NJ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 6(16) 2(18)
TRENTON NJ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 8(20) 2(22)
NWS EARLE NJ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11) 2(13)
PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 6(17) 2(19)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 7(23) 2(25)
ATLANTIC CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 6( 8) 3(11) 1(12)
DOVER DE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 10(14) 5(19) 1(20)
DOVER DE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 3(12) 2(14)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 3(11) 1(12)
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 13(19) 5(24) 2(26)
CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
CAPE HENLOPEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 14(23) 6(29) 1(30)
OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
OCEAN CITY MD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 8(14) 3(17) 1(18)
WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 12(24) 4(28) 2(30)
WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) 1( 6)
WALLOPS CDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8)
RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 5(13) 1(14) 1(15)
DANVILLE VA 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) 1(10)
NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 15(19) 6(25) 2(27) 1(28)
NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
NORFOLK NAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 16(21) 6(27) 3(30) 1(31)
NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
NORFOLK VA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) 7(30) 3(33) 1(34)
OCEANA NAS VA 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) 1( 8)
OCEANA NAS VA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) 10(10) 23(33) 5(38) 2(40) 1(41)
ELIZABETH CTY 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) X(10) 1(11)
ELIZABETH CTY 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 1( 9)
RALEIGH NC 34 X 2( 2) 13(15) 3(18) 1(19) 1(20) X(20)
RALEIGH NC 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ROCKY MT NC 34 X 1( 1) 16(17) 10(27) 1(28) 1(29) 1(30)
ROCKY MT NC 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 17(17) 28(45) 4(49) 1(50) 1(51)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 1(17) 1(18) X(18)
CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 X 4( 4) 34(38) 2(40) X(40) 1(41) X(41)
FAYETTEVILLE 50 X X( X) 10(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
FAYETTEVILLE 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 5( 5) 5(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) 1(11)
CHERRY PT NC 34 X 2( 2) 36(38) 17(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56)
CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) 11(11) 7(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19)
CHERRY PT NC 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NEW RIVER NC 34 X 1( 1) 32(33) 19(52) 1(53) 1(54) X(54)
NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) 10(10) 10(20) X(20) X(20) 1(21)
NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 1( 1) 36(37) 17(54) 1(55) X(55) X(55)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) 12(12) 8(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21)
MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SURF CITY NC 34 X 3( 3) 52(55) 6(61) X(61) 1(62) X(62)
SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) 19(19) 4(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X 4( 4) 55(59) 4(63) X(63) X(63) X(63)
WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) 21(21) 2(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 6( 6) 54(60) 3(63) X(63) X(63) 1(64)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) 25(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
FLORENCE SC 34 1 13(14) 39(53) X(53) X(53) 1(54) X(54)
FLORENCE SC 50 X 1( 1) 15(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
FLORENCE SC 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
COLUMBIA SC 34 3 19(22) 16(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
COLUMBIA SC 50 X 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
LITTLE RIVER 34 X 10(10) 57(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) 1(68)
LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) 25(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 1 12(13) 56(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) 1(70)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X 1( 1) 26(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 2 19(21) 51(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) 1(73)
GEORGETOWN SC 50 X 2( 2) 27(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) 1(30)
GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CHARLESTON SC 34 4 38(42) 33(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
CHARLESTON SC 50 X 10(10) 22(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
CHARLESTON SC 64 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 6 60(66) 14(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X 28(28) 11(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)
BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ATLANTA GA 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
AUGUSTA GA 34 4 32(36) 4(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
AUGUSTA GA 50 X 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
AUGUSTA GA 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
SAVANNAH GA 34 16 64(80) 5(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
SAVANNAH GA 50 X 44(44) 4(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
SAVANNAH GA 64 X 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
KINGS BAY GA 34 57 25(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
KINGS BAY GA 50 6 36(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
KINGS BAY GA 64 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
WAYCROSS GA 34 72 25(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
WAYCROSS GA 50 20 60(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
WAYCROSS GA 64 1 14(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 57 19(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76)
MAYPORT NS FL 50 6 23(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
MAYPORT NS FL 64 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
JACKSONVILLE 34 67 17(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
JACKSONVILLE 50 13 30(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43)
JACKSONVILLE 64 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 84 2(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86)
GAINESVILLE FL 50 47 6(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53)
GAINESVILLE FL 64 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 44 6(50) 1(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51)
DAYTONA BEACH 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
THE VILLAGES 34 67 2(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
THE VILLAGES 50 12 X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
ORLANDO FL 34 35 3(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 16 4(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
PATRICK AFB 34 16 4(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
FT PIERCE FL 34 7 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
W PALM BEACH 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NAPLES FL 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
FT MYERS FL 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
VENICE FL 34 27 1(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
TAMPA FL 34 66 X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66)
TAMPA FL 50 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 93 X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
CEDAR KEY FL 50 80 X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
CEDAR KEY FL 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 90 1(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50 63 1(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64)
TALLAHASSEE FL 64 20 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
ST MARKS FL 34 98 X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
ST MARKS FL 50 86 1(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87)
ST MARKS FL 64 29 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
APALACHICOLA 34 93 X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
APALACHICOLA 50 45 X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45)
APALACHICOLA 64 9 X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GFMX 290N 850W 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GFMX 290N 850W 64 21 X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 32 1(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
PANAMA CITY FL 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
COLUMBUS GA 34 6 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
BIRMINGHAM AL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MONTGOMERY AL 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
WHITING FLD FL 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
PENSACOLA FL 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MOBILE AL 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
NNNN
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Page last modified: Saturday, 31-Dec-2016 12:09:29 UTC