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Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE


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POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092016
2100 UTC MON SEP 05 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET TO PORT JEFFERSON
HARBOR
* NEW HAVEN TO SAGAMORE BEACH
* BLOCK ISLAND
* MARTHA'S VINEYARD
* NANTUCKET

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.3N  69.5W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT.......140NE   0SE   0SW 140NW.
34 KT.......200NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 360SE 360SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.3N  69.5W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.1N  69.2W

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 39.7N  70.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
34 KT...200NE 140SE 140SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 39.9N  71.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 80NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 40.0N  71.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 40.3N  71.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 42.0N  69.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.3N  69.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

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