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POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092016
1500 UTC MON SEP 05 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET TO PORT JEFFERSON
HARBOR
* NEW HAVEN TO SAGAMORE BEACH
* BLOCK ISLAND
* MARTHA'S VINEYARD
* NANTUCKET

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.8N  68.8W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT.......140NE   0SE   0SW 140NW.
34 KT.......200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 360SE 360SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.8N  68.8W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.5N  68.4W

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 39.2N  69.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
34 KT...200NE 160SE 160SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 39.7N  70.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE   0SE   0SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 40.0N  70.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 40.5N  70.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 41.0N  69.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  80SE  80SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 44.5N  62.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.8N  68.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


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