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Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE


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POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092016
1500 UTC SUN SEP 04 2016
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF CAPE CHARLES LIGHT HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE CHARLES LIGHT TO WEST OF WATCH HILL
* DELAWARE BAY
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WATCH HILL TO SAGAMORE BEACH
* BLOCK ISLAND
* MARTHA'S VINEYARD
* NANTUCKET
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.2N  69.6W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT.......160NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 170SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 280SE 300SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.2N  69.6W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.0N  70.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 37.6N  69.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
34 KT...210NE 180SE 170SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 38.3N  69.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...120NE   0SE  70SW 100NW.
34 KT...240NE 150SE 170SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 38.7N  70.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE   0SE  60SW  60NW.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...220NE 150SE 160SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 39.0N  70.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 190NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 40.0N  68.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 41.0N  66.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 42.0N  60.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.2N  69.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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