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POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092016
0900 UTC SUN SEP 04 2016
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF DUCK...
NORTH CAROLINA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DUCK TO WEST OF WATCH HILL
* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT SOUTHWARD
* DELAWARE BAY
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WATCH HILL TO SAGAMORE BEACH
* BLOCK ISLAND
* MARTHA'S VINEYARD
* NANTUCKET
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.8N  70.8W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  65 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 170SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 310SE 100SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.8N  70.8W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.6N  71.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 37.2N  70.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
34 KT...210NE 160SE 170SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 37.7N  70.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...100NE   0SE  70SW 100NW.
34 KT...240NE 150SE 170SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 38.0N  71.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE   0SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...220NE 150SE 160SW 190NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 38.5N  70.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 190NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 39.2N  70.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 40.3N  68.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 41.5N  63.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.8N  70.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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