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TROPICAL STORM HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092016
0900 UTC FRI SEP 02 2016
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE HURRICANE WARNING AND THE HURRICANE WATCH HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED WEST
OF INDIAN PASS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ENGLEWOOD TO INDIAN PASS
* FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO DUCK
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF DUCK TO SANDY HOOK
* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT SOUTHWARD
* SOUTHERN DELAWARE BAY
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE UNITED STATES NORTHEAST COAST SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N  83.6W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 100SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT.......120NE 150SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE   0SE 180SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N  83.6W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.2N  84.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 32.5N  81.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 34.5N  77.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 160SE  50SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 36.0N  74.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  50SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 37.0N  72.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...210NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 38.0N  72.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 38.5N  72.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 39.0N  72.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.8N  83.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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