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TROPICAL STORM HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016
0900 UTC THU SEP 01 2016
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S. EAST
COAST FROM MARINELAND FLORIDA TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S. EAST
COAST FROM NORTH OF SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SUWANNEE RIVER TO MEXICO BEACH
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANCLOTE RIVER TO SUWANNEE RIVER
* WEST OF MEXICO BEACH TO DESTIN
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANCLOTE RIVER TO SUWANNEE RIVER
* WEST OF MEXICO BEACH TO DESTIN
* MARINELAND TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO SURF CITY
INTERESTS ALONG THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST ELSEWHERE IN NORTH
CAROLINA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 86.6W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 60SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 30SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 86.6W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 87.0W
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 27.8N 85.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 30.0N 84.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 32.0N 82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 34.0N 78.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 36.5N 73.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 0SW 0NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 38.0N 72.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 38.0N 72.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.4N 86.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z
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FORECASTER AVILA
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