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TROPICAL STORM HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016
0300 UTC THU SEP 01 2016
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE SUWANNEE RIVER WESTWARD
TO MEXICO BEACH FLORIDA. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED
NORTHWARD FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA TO THE SOUTH SANTEE
RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SUWANNEE RIVER TO MEXICO BEACH
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANCLOTE RIVER TO SUWANNEE RIVER
* WEST OF MEXICO BEACH TO DESTIN
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANCLOTE RIVER TO SUWANNEE RIVER
* WEST OF MEXICO BEACH TO DESTIN
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MARINELAND FLORIDA TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
INTERESTS ALONG THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST ELSEWHERE IN THE
CAROLINAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 87.0W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE 90SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 30SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 87.0W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 87.1W
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 26.9N 86.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE 90SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 28.7N 85.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE 90SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 30.7N 83.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE 90SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 32.8N 81.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 140SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 37.0N 76.3W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...110NE 140SE 0SW 0NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 39.0N 74.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 39.0N 71.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.8N 87.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
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