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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EARL ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052016
1000 AM CDT THU AUG 04 2016

...EARL RAPIDLY WEAKENING OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF NORTHERN
GUATEMALA...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.2N 89.9W
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM W OF BELIZE CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of Belize has discontinued all coastal warnings.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests along the southern Bay of Campeche should monitor the
progress of Earl.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Earl was
located well inland near latitude 17.2 North, longitude 89.9 West.
Earl is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue during the next couple of
days. On the forecast track, Earl will continue to move across
northern Guatemala and southeastern Mexico tonight and Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected as the center
moves over high terrain, and Earl is forecast to weaken to a
tropical depression by tonight.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
to the east of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.24 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions within a small area near the center
should spread westward over northern Guatemala and southeastern
Mexico today.

RAINFALL:  Earl is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 8 to 12 inches over portions of Belize, Guatemala, and the
Mexican states of Campeche, Chiapas, Quintana Roo, Tabasco and
Veracruz through Friday morning. Isolated maximum amounts of 18
inches are possible in Belize, northern Guatemala and the central
part of the Mexican state of Chiapas.  These rains could result in
life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila

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