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TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052016
1500 UTC THU AUG 04 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL
COASTAL WARNINGS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT

INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE BAY OF CAMPECHE SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  89.9W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  89.9W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  89.4W

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 17.5N  91.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 18.0N  93.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 18.5N  95.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 19.0N  97.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 19.5N 100.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N  89.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


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