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TROPICAL STORM COLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032016
1500 UTC MON JUN 06 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND TO SOUTH
SANTEE RIVER HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* INDIAN PASS TO ENGLEWOOD
* SEBASTIAN INLET FLORIDA TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED
STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF COLIN.  ADDITIONAL WARNINGS
OR WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PARTS OF THIS AREA LATER THIS
MORNING.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  87.0W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  75 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE 200SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 210SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  87.0W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N  87.3W

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 29.6N  84.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 32.8N  79.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 200SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 36.3N  72.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 200SE 150SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 40.2N  62.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 210SE 180SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 45.5N  43.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 270SE 240SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 50.0N  33.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 55.0N  27.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.0N  87.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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