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TROPICAL STORM COLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032016
0300 UTC MON JUN 06 2016
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE
FLORIDA.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED SOUTH OF THE
FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET FLORIDA.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA
TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* INDIAN PASS TO ENGLEWOOD
* ALTAMAHA SOUND TO SEBASTIAN INLET
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 
HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N  87.8W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N  87.8W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N  87.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 26.0N  86.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...160NE 160SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 29.1N  84.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 160SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 31.8N  79.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 160SE 100SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 35.5N  72.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 160SE 100SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 43.3N  54.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 240SE 120SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 49.0N  39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 54.0N  33.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.6N  87.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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