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TROPICAL STORM BONNIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022016
0900 UTC SUN MAY 29 2016
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)
DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5)
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7)
PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6)
WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7)
CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8)
DANVILLE VA 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7)
NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 2(10)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 2(10)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 2(10)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) 2(12)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7)
RALEIGH NC 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) 1(11)
ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 2(11) 2(13)
ROCKY MT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 3(12) 2(14)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 X 4( 4) 4( 8) 5(13) 3(16) 1(17) 1(18)
FAYETTEVILLE 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 1( 6)
CHERRY PT NC 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 6( 8) 6(14) 2(16) 1(17)
CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
NEW RIVER NC 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) 6(13) 2(15) 2(17)
NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 6( 8) 6(14) 2(16) 1(17)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SURF CITY NC 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 7(13) 6(19) 1(20) 1(21)
SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X 3( 3) 7(10) 7(17) 4(21) 1(22) 1(23)
WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 5( 5) 10(15) 6(21) 3(24) 1(25) 1(26)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
FLORENCE SC 34 1 20(21) 7(28) 2(30) 2(32) X(32) 1(33)
FLORENCE SC 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X 8( 8) 4(12) X(12) 2(14) X(14) 1(15)
LITTLE RIVER 34 1 14(15) 13(28) 4(32) 3(35) X(35) 1(36)
LITTLE RIVER 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 4 19(23) 11(34) 4(38) 1(39) X(39) 1(40)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 1( 6)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 17 22(39) 6(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) 1(47)
GEORGETOWN SC 50 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CHARLESTON SC 34 30 13(43) 2(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) 1(47)
CHARLESTON SC 50 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 7 6(13) 2(15) X(15) 1(16) 1(17) X(17)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SAVANNAH GA 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 1( 6)
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
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