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Hurricane ALEX (Text)


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HURRICANE ALEX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   6A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012016
200 AM AST FRI JAN 15 2016

...CONDITIONS DETERIORATING OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN AZORES...
...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE AZORES LATER
THIS MORNING...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.5N 27.3W
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM S OF TERCEIRA ISLAND IN THE CENTRAL AZORES
ABOUT 230 MI...365 KM SSE OF FAIAL ISLAND IN THE CENTRAL AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Faial, Pico, Sao Jorge, Graciosa, and Terceira in the central
Azores

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sao Miguel and Santa Maria in the eastern Azores

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Alex was located
near latitude 35.5 North, longitude 27.3 West. Alex is moving toward
the north near 22 mph (35 km/h).  A northward motion and a faster
forward speed are expected this morning and afternoon, followed by a
turn toward the north-northwest tonight and Saturday.  On the
forecast track, the center of Alex will move near or over portions
of the Azores this morning.

Maximum sustained winds remain near near 80 mph (130 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Little change in strength is expected over the next
day or so.  However, Alex is likely to lose its tropical
characteristics by tonight while it moves over colder water.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles
(280 km).  Wind gusts to tropical storm force have been reported
over portions the eastern and central Azores during the past few
hours. A wind gust to 51 mph (81 km/h) has been reported at the
Santa Maria Airport.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 984 mb (29.06 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical-storm-force winds will continue to spread across all
of the eastern and central Azores this morning. Hurricane conditions
are expected to spread over the central Azores later this morning.

Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than the near-surface winds
indicated in this advisory, and in some elevated locations could be
even greater.

RAINFALL:  Alex is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches over the Azores through today, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 7 inches.  These rains could produce
life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.

STORM SURGE:  A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce
significant coastal flooding near and to the east of the center of
Alex.  Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

NNNN

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Page last modified: Saturday, 31-Dec-2016 12:09:04 UTC