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HURRICANE ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012016
2100 UTC THU JAN 14 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FAIAL...PICO...SAO JORGE...GRACIOSA...AND TERCEIRA IN THE CENTRAL
AZORES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAO MIGUEL AND SANTA MARIA IN THE EASTERN AZORES

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N  27.8W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT  20 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 360SE 300SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N  27.8W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.6N  28.0W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 36.4N  27.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 41.8N  27.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT...240NE 180SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT...420NE 420SE 120SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 49.5N  29.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT...240NE 240SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...420NE 480SE 270SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 56.5N  34.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...240NE 240SE 100SW 240NW.
34 KT...420NE 300SE 180SW 420NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.6N  27.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


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