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SUBTROPICAL STORM ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012016
0300 UTC THU JAN 14 2016

INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ALEX.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N  30.0W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 120SE 120SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 150SE 120SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N  30.0W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.9N  30.4W

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 30.6N  28.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 120SE 120SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 34.2N  27.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 120SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 39.3N  27.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 45.7N  29.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...240NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...420NE 360SE  60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 58.0N  37.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...240NE   0SE   0SW 180NW.
34 KT...420NE 360SE 540SW 420NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z...MERGED WITH EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.7N  30.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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