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TROPICAL STORM SANDRA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP222015
1500 UTC TUE NOV 24 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 106.1W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 106.1W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 105.6W

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 11.8N 107.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 12.6N 109.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  40SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 13.6N 110.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 15.1N 111.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 19.1N 110.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 23.0N 108.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 27.5N 105.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.2N 106.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG


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