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Tropical Depression TWENTY-ONE-E


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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212015
1000 AM MDT WED NOV 18 2015

...LATE-SEASON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS WELL SOUTHWEST OF THE
COAST OF MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM MDT...1600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.0N 107.2W
ABOUT 455 MI...735 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1000 AM MDT (1600 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Twenty-One-E was located near latitude 13.0 North, longitude 107.2
West. The depression is moving toward the north near 2 mph (4
km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today. A turn
toward the north-northwest and then northwest is expected Thursday
and Friday with an increase in forward speed.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
depression is expected to become a tropical storm tonight or
Thursday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain

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