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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202015
1000 PM CDT TUE OCT 20 2015

...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO THE SIXTEENTH TROPICAL STORM OF
THE SEASON SOUTH OF MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.1N 95.3W
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM SSE OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO MEXICO
ABOUT 405 MI...650 KM SE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests along the southern coast of Mexico should monitor the
progress of Patricia.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Patricia was
located near latitude 13.1 North, longitude 95.3 West. Patricia is
moving toward the west-southwest near 5 mph (7 km/h) and this
general motion is expected to continue tonight. A motion toward the
west with some increase in forward speed is expected on Wednesday,
followed by a turn toward the west-northwest by Wednesday night and
a turn toward the northwest by Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased near 40 mph (65 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is forecast during the next
48 hours, and Patricia is expected to become a hurricane by late
Wednesday night or on Thursday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
to the southeast of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

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