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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202015
1500 UTC TUE OCT 20 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N  94.4W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N  94.4W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  94.3W

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 13.0N  95.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 12.8N  97.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 12.9N  98.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 13.9N 101.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 16.3N 103.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 20.5N 104.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N  94.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN


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