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HURRICANE OLAF WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192015
1500 UTC MON OCT 19 2015
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.9
NORTH...LONGITUDE 137.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100
KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
10N 145W 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 19(28) 7(35) 3(38) X(38)
10N 145W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11) 2(13) X(13)
10N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
15N 145W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 35(50) 8(58) 2(60)
15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 19(22) 6(28) 1(29)
15N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 3(15) X(15)
20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 8(22)
20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
20N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
25N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
10N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6)
15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 14(22) 4(26)
15N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9)
15N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 8(17)
20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
20N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
25N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 7(12)
20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10)
20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
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