Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Hurricane OLAF


ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE OLAF WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15                  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192015               
1500 UTC SUN OCT 18 2015                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.5 
NORTH...LONGITUDE 133.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70   
KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H.                                            
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
10N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   6(15)   2(17)
10N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)
10N 145W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  18(19)  23(42)   6(48)
15N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  11(16)   4(20)
15N 145W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   2(10)
 
20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   9(18)
20N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
20N 145W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
25N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
15N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   4( 9)
 
20N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
20N 151W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
BUOY 51004     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BRENNAN                                                  
NNNN