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Tropical Storm OLAF


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TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192015
0300 UTC SAT OCT 17 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.7N 127.6W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.7N 127.6W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.7N 127.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z  9.7N 129.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z  9.7N 130.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 10.0N 132.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 10.5N 133.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 12.0N 137.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 14.0N 140.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 16.5N 141.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.7N 127.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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