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TROPICAL STORM NORA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182015
2100 UTC SAT OCT 10 2015

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
11.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 138.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

10N 145W       34  X   2( 2)   7( 9)  10(19)   7(26)   2(28)   X(28)
10N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
10N 145W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

15N 145W       34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   9(15)  19(34)   5(39)   1(40)
15N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   3(12)   X(12)
15N 145W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)

20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)

10N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)

15N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   7(12)   1(13)

20N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BRENNAN
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