ZCZC MIATCPEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
REMNANTS OF SIXTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162015
300 PM MDT MON SEP 21 2015

...SIXTEEN-E DISSIPATES OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO...
...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE IN ARIZONA AND NEW MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.7N 111.7W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM W OF CABORCA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in northwestern mainland Mexico, Arizona and New Mexico
should monitor the progress of the remnants of Sixteen-E.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the remnants of Sixteen-E were located
near latitude 30.7 North, longitude 111.7 West.  The remnants are
moving toward the north-northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h).  The system
is expected to continue on a north-northeastward track through
Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Continued weakening is forecast through Tuesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  The remnants of Sixteen-E are expected to produce
rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches across the northern Baja
California peninsula and the northwestern Mexican state of Sonora.
Isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are possible in Baja
California and Sonora, Mexico.  Two to four inches of rain is
expected in Arizona and New Mexico.  Isolated amounts of 6 inches
are possible in Arizona and New Mexico.  One to two inches of rain
is expected over portions of southern California through Tuesday.
This rainfall could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud
slides, especially in mountainous areas.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.  Future information on the remnants of
Tropical Depression Sixteen-E can be found in public advisories
issued by the NOAA Weather Prediction Center beginning at 8
p.m. PDT under AWIPS header TCPEP1 and WMO header WTPZ31 KWNH and on
the web at http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

NNNN