ZCZC MIATCMEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152015
0900 UTC SUN SEP 06 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 108.3W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 108.3W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 107.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 14.9N 109.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.4N 111.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 18.2N 112.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 19.7N 114.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 21.7N 116.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 23.0N 118.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 24.0N 122.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 108.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
NNNN