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TROPICAL STORM LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152015
800 AM PDT THU SEP 10 2015

Linda remains void of any organized deep convection and the
mid-level circulation is decoupling from the low-level vortex. The
initial intensity has been lowered to 35 kt based on a blend of the
latest Dvorak estimates and assuming some decay since last night's
ASCAT passes. Gradual spin down of the circulation is forecast as
it moves over cool waters during the next few days, and if deep
convection does not return, Linda will likely become a remnant low
later today.

The initial motion estimate is 320/06. A gradual turn toward the
west-northwest is forecast during the next day or so with a
decrease in forward speed as the shallow vortex is steered by the
low-level flow. Before the cyclone dissipates in 3 to 4 days, a
motion south of due west is possible. The new NHC track forecast is
an update of the previous one and is close to the middle of the
guidance envelope.

Large swells from Linda are affecting the Pacific coast of the Baja
California peninsula and southern California.  These swells could
continue for another day or so. In addition, some of Linda's mid-
and upper-level moisture is spreading northward into portions of the
southwestern U.S., which could trigger locally heavy rainfall. For
additional information, please consult products issued by the NOAA
Weather Prediction Center and your local NWS forecast office.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  10/1500Z 26.0N 118.6W   35 KT  40 MPH
 12H  11/0000Z 26.6N 119.3W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  11/1200Z 27.1N 120.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  12/0000Z 27.4N 121.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  12/1200Z 27.6N 122.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  13/1200Z 27.5N 122.5W   15 KT  15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  14/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Brennan

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