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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.8W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.8W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 112.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 13.2N 113.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.6N 114.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.3N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.1N 115.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.8N 115.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 22.7N 114.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 23.4N 114.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 112.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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