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Tropical Depression TWELVE-E


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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122015
0300 UTC TUE AUG 25 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 130.9W AT 25/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 130.9W AT 25/0300Z
AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 130.7W

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 13.0N 131.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 12.8N 132.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 12.8N 133.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 13.2N 135.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 15.0N 139.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 16.6N 143.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 17.8N 146.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 130.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS


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