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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112015
800 PM PDT MON AUG 17 2015

The depression has lacked significant deep convection for about six
hours now and is well on its way to becoming a remnant low.  The
initial wind speed estimate remains 25 kt for this advisory.  Since
the depression is over water temperatures of around 24C and well
embedded in a stable air mass, significant convection is unlikely
to return.  Therefore, degeneration to a remnant low is expected to
occur within the next 12 hours, and the cyclone is forecast to
dissipate in a few days.

The cyclone is moving northwestward at a fairly quick 18 kt
steered by the flow between a mid- to upper-level low to its
southwest and a subtropical ridge over the southwestern United
States.  A slower west-northwestward to northwestward motion is
expected until the cyclone dissipates.  The NHC official track
forecast is a little to the north of the previous one, trending
toward the latest consensus aids.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  18/0300Z 24.5N 124.5W   25 KT  30 MPH
 12H  18/1200Z 25.6N 126.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  19/0000Z 27.0N 128.6W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  19/1200Z 28.1N 130.4W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  20/0000Z 29.3N 131.7W   15 KT  15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  21/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

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