ZCZC MIATCMEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102015
0300 UTC THU AUG 06 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 129.8W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  35 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 129.8W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 129.3W

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 12.5N 131.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 12.5N 133.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 12.6N 135.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 12.9N 136.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 14.2N 140.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 15.8N 143.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 17.8N 145.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 129.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


NNNN