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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062015
200 PM PDT FRI JUL 17 2015

Recently received ASCAT data shows that Enrique has weakened to a
tropical depression with winds of 30 kt.  There is currently no deep
convection associated with the cyclone, although several bands of
low-topped showers are present.  Unless there is a significant
increase in convection, the cyclone should degenerate into a remnant
low pressure area in 24 hours or less. After that, the dynamical
guidance suggests that the remnant low should persist for several
more days before dissipating.

The initial motion is 270/2.  The track guidance indicates that
Enrique and its remnants should make a counter-clockwise loop during
the next three days or so, followed by a northwestward motion.  The
new track forecast is again similar to the previous forecast and is
near the center of the track guidance envelope.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  17/2100Z 20.5N 137.1W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  18/0600Z 20.3N 137.4W   30 KT  35 MPH
 24H  18/1800Z 19.9N 137.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  19/0600Z 19.9N 137.3W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  19/1800Z 20.2N 137.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  20/1800Z 21.5N 137.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  21/1800Z 23.0N 138.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H  22/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven

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