ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE DOLORES WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052015               
2100 UTC TUE JUL 14 2015                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLORES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE  
18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.                                         
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
P ABREOJOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
 
CABO SAN LUCAS 34  2   3( 5)   6(11)   7(18)   4(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  1   4( 5)   4( 9)   5(14)   3(17)   1(18)   X(18)
 
LA PAZ         34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   4(11)   1(12)   X(12)
 
LORETO         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
CULIACAN       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
P VALLARTA     34  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BARRA NAVIDAD  34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34 38  47(85)   7(92)   1(93)   1(94)   X(94)   X(94)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  2  41(43)  19(62)   3(65)   X(65)   1(66)   X(66)
ISLA SOCORRO   64  X  19(19)  15(34)   3(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)
 
ISLA CLARION   34  1   2( 3)   6( 9)  12(21)  12(33)   2(35)   1(36)
ISLA CLARION   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
ISLA CLARION   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ISLAS MARIAS   34  3   2( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
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