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BULLETIN
HURRICANE DOLORES ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052015
300 PM MDT MON JUL 13 2015

...DOLORES REACHES HURRICANE STRENGTH...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE ON WEDNESDAY...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.2N 106.5W
ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Watch
for Mexico.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Dolores was
located near latitude 17.2 North, longitude 106.5 West.  Dolores is
moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this
motion with some further decrease in forward speed should continue
through Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is forecast during the
next 48 hours, and Dolores is expected to become a major hurricane
on Wednesday.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.27 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  The outer rain bands of Dolores are expected to produce
total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches along the southwestern
coast of Mexico in the states of Colima and Jalisco. Isolated
maximum amounts of 5 inches are possible.

SURF:  Swells generated by Dolores are expected to affect the
southwestern coast of Mexico and the Baja California peninsula
during the next few days, and could cause life-threatening surf and
rip current conditions.  Please consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain

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