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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DOLORES ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052015
900 AM MDT MON JUL 13 2015

...DOLORES GRADUALLY INTENSIFYING WHILE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.1N 106.0W
ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Watch
east of Punta San Telmo.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Punta San Telmo to Cabo Corrientes

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 12
hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Dolores was
located near latitude 17.1 North, longitude 106.0 West. Dolores is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this
motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected through
Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is forecast during the
next 48 hours, and Dolores is expected to become a hurricane later
today, and a major hurricane on Wednesday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area
through early this afternoon.

RAINFALL:  The outer rain bands of Dolores are expected to produce
total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches along the southwestern
coast of Mexico from the state of Michoacan to Jalisco. Isolated
maximum amounts of 5 inches are possible.

SURF:  Swells generated by Dolores are expected to affect the
southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico and the Baja California
peninsula during the next few days, and could cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult products from your
local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 1200 PM MDT.
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain

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