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HURRICANE DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052015
0900 UTC FRI JUL 17 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 114.3W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 110SE 110SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 200SE 200SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 114.3W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 113.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 21.4N 115.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 22.0N 116.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 23.5N 118.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 25.3N 119.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 29.0N 122.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 30.5N 123.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 29.0N 124.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N 114.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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