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HURRICANE DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052015
0300 UTC FRI JUL 17 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 113.2W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  971 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 110SE 110SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 270SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 113.2W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 112.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 21.2N 114.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 21.7N 116.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 22.7N 117.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 24.4N 118.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 28.7N 121.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 30.5N 122.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 30.2N 123.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 113.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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