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TROPICAL STORM CARLOS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032015
2100 UTC SUN JUN 14 2015
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CARLOS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8)
LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)
LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
CULIACAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 4(14) 2(16)
MAZATLAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
SAN BLAS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 18(26) 3(29) 1(30)
SAN BLAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
SAN BLAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
P VALLARTA 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 11(17) 21(38) 3(41) 1(42)
P VALLARTA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 1(13) X(13)
P VALLARTA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 1 5( 6) 17(23) 21(44) 15(59) 1(60) X(60)
BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 12(25) X(25) X(25)
BARRA NAVIDAD 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) X(10) X(10)
MANZANILLO 34 1 7( 8) 21(29) 20(49) 13(62) X(62) 1(63)
MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 7(21) X(21) X(21)
MANZANILLO 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
L CARDENAS 34 38 38(76) 7(83) 2(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
L CARDENAS 50 2 30(32) 8(40) X(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41)
L CARDENAS 64 X 9( 9) 3(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 68 12(80) 2(82) 1(83) 1(84) X(84) X(84)
ZIHUATANEJO 50 12 12(24) 3(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
ZIHUATANEJO 64 2 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ACAPULCO 34 14 3(17) 3(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
P MALDONADO 34 2 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 20(27) 5(32) 2(34)
ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) X(10)
ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
NNNN
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