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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CARLOS ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032015
400 AM CDT FRI JUN 12 2015

...CARLOS MEANDERING SOUTH OF MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.7N 100.8W
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM SSE OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Acapulco to Zihuatanejo

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Carlos was
located near latitude 14.7 North, longitude 100.8 West. Carlos is
moving toward the northwest near 2 mph (4 km/h) and and this very
slow motion is expected to continue for the next day or so.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is expected, and Carlos is forecast to
become a hurricane during the next day or so.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area
by Saturday night.

RAINFALL:  Locally heavy rains could spread over portions of the
southern coast of Mexico, primarily in the states of Oaxaca and
Guerrero, during the next couple of days.

SURF:  Swells associated with Carlos are expected to increase near
the coast of southern Mexico during the next few days.  These swells
could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

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