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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CARLOS ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032015
400 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2015

...CARLOS STRENGTHENS WHILE MOVING VERY SLOWLY...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.1N 100.3W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SSE OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests along the southern coast of Mexico should monitor the
progress of this system.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Carlos was
located near latitude 14.1 North, longitude 100.3 West. Carlos is
moving toward the north-northwest near 2 mph (4 km/h) and this
general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the
next 48 hours and Carlos is forecast to become a hurricane by the
weekend.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Locally heavy rains could spread over portions of the
southern coast of Mexico, primarily in the states of Oaxaca and
Guerrero, during the next couple of days.

SURF:  Swells associated with Carlos are expected to increase near
the coast of southern Mexico during the next few days.  These swells
could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch/Zelinsky

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