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TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032015
2100 UTC WED JUN 10 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N  98.7W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N  98.7W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N  98.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 13.0N  99.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 13.4N  99.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 14.0N  99.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 14.5N  99.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 15.5N  99.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 16.5N 100.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 17.5N 103.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N  98.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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