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HURRICANE BLANCA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022015
0300 UTC SAT JUN 06 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LA PAZ TO SANTA FE MEXICO INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 108.3W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  971 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  80SE  80SW  70NW.
34 KT.......170NE 140SE 120SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 330SE 210SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 108.3W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 108.0W

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 17.1N 109.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE  80SW  60NW.
34 KT...170NE 140SE 120SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 18.6N 110.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  70SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 20.1N 110.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 21.9N 111.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 25.5N 112.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 28.4N 113.7W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 108.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG


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