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Hurricane BLANCA


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HURRICANE BLANCA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022015
1500 UTC FRI JUN 05 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF BLANCA. A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WATCH WILL
LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR LATER
TODAY.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 106.9W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT.......160NE 130SE 130SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 210SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 106.9W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 106.6W

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 16.1N 107.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 130SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 17.6N 109.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 19.4N 109.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 21.0N 110.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 24.5N 111.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 27.0N 112.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 28.0N 113.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 106.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


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