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TROPICAL STORM BLANCA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022015
1500 UTC MON JUN 01 2015
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 104.1W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 104.1W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 104.1W
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 13.8N 104.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 50SE 0SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 13.8N 104.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 13.6N 105.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 13.4N 105.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 13.4N 105.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 15.5N 107.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 18.5N 110.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 104.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
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FORECASTER BRENNAN
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