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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022015
2230 UTC SUN MAY 31 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 103.0W AT 31/2230Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 103.0W AT 31/2230Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 102.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 13.1N 103.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 13.7N 104.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 13.8N 104.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 13.3N 104.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 12.3N 104.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 12.7N 105.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 15.0N 107.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 103.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
 
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