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Tropical Depression BLANCA


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TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA DISCUSSION NUMBER  34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022015
900 PM MDT MON JUN 08 2015

Blanca is currently a large swirl of low and mid-level clouds
centered over the central portion of the Baja California Peninsula,
with the remaining deep convection located well to the north of the
center. The initial intensity is reduced to 25 kt based mainly on
continuity from the previous advisory.  The cyclone should
degenerate into a remnant low pressure area in 12 hours or less,
with the remnant low forecast to dissipate completely between 24
and 36 hours.

The initial motion is 335/15.  Over the next day or so, Blanca or
its remnants should move north-northwestward to northward in the
flow between a deep-layer ridge to its east and a mid and
upper-level low to its west.  The new forecast track is nudged a
little to the east of the previous track based on a slight eastward
shift in the model consensus.

Moisture associated with Blanca and its remnants is expected to
affect portions of the southwestern United States tonight and
Tuesday.  For more information, please see products from your
local National Weather Service office.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  09/0300Z 27.8N 113.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 12H  09/1200Z 29.3N 114.4W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 24H  10/0000Z 31.1N 114.7W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 36H  10/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven

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