ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA DISCUSSION NUMBER 33 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022015 300 PM MDT MON JUN 08 2015 Blanca's cloud pattern continues to lose organization, and deep convection is diminishing. Assuming a continued spin down of the circulation during the day, the current intensity is set at 30 kt. This is also consistent with the Dvorak intensity estimate from UW-CIMSS. Continued weakening should occur due to shear and interaction with the Baja California peninsula, and Blanca is expected to become a remnant low in about 12 hours. The official intensity forecast is near the high end of the guidance. The initial motion is a little faster, or 340/15 kt. Over the next day or so, Blanca or its remnants should move north-northwestward to northward in the flow between a high to its east and a low to its west. The official track forecast is similar to the dynamical model consensus. Moisture associated with Blanca and its remnants is expected to affect portions of the southwestern United States today and Tuesday. For more information, please see products from your local National Weather Service office. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 08/2100Z 26.7N 113.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 09/0600Z 28.3N 114.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 24H 09/1800Z 30.2N 115.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 36H 10/0600Z 32.0N 115.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 48H 10/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch NNNN
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