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TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA DISCUSSION NUMBER  33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022015
300 PM MDT MON JUN 08 2015

Blanca's cloud pattern continues to lose organization, and deep
convection is diminishing.  Assuming a continued spin down of the
circulation during the day, the current intensity is set at 30 kt.
This is also consistent with the Dvorak intensity estimate from
UW-CIMSS.  Continued weakening should occur due to shear and
interaction with the Baja California peninsula, and Blanca is
expected to become a remnant low in about 12 hours.  The official
intensity forecast is near the high end of the guidance.

The initial motion is a little faster, or 340/15 kt.  Over the next
day or so, Blanca or its remnants should move north-northwestward to
northward in the flow between a high to its east and a low to its
west.  The official track forecast is similar to the dynamical
model consensus.

Moisture associated with Blanca and its remnants is expected to
affect portions of the southwestern United States today and
Tuesday.  For more information, please see products from your
local National Weather Service office.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  08/2100Z 26.7N 113.0W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  09/0600Z 28.3N 114.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 24H  09/1800Z 30.2N 115.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 36H  10/0600Z 32.0N 115.2W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 48H  10/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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