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Tropical Depression TWELVE


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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122015
1000 PM EST SUN NOV 08 2015

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS NEAR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM EST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.0N 73.0W
ABOUT 115 MI...190 KM SE OF SAN SALVADOR
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of the Bahamas has issued a Tropical Storm Warning
for the Central and Northwestern Bahamas, and for the Acklins,
Samana Cays, Crooked Island, and Long Cay in the southeastern
Bahamas.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* The Acklins, Samana Cays, Crooked Island, and Long Cay in
the southeastern Bahamas
* Central Bahamas
* Northwest Bahamas

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 to 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1000 PM EST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Twelve
was located near latitude 23.0 North, longitude 73.0 West. The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h) and
this motion is expected to continue overnight.  A turn toward the
north-northwest and north are expected on Monday and Monday night.
On the forecast track, the center of the depression is forecast to
pass near or over portions of the central Bahamas later tonight and
early Monday, and near or over the northwestern Bahamas late Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next day or so, and the
depression is forecast to become a tropical storm tonight or Monday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach portions
of the southeastern and central Bahamas late tonight or early
Monday, and spread over portions of the northwest Bahamas Monday
afternoon.

RAINFALL:  The tropical depression is expected to produce
total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches over the Turks and
Caicos Islands and the Bahamas through Monday night.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM EST.
Next complete advisory at 400 AM EST.

$$
Forecaster Brown

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