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Tropical Storm JOAQUIN (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM JOAQUIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8          
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112015               
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD         
2100 UTC TUE SEP 29 2015                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOAQUIN WAS LOCATED NEAR      
LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
 
HARTFORD CT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
 
NEW YORK CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
 
NEWARK NJ      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
 
TRENTON NJ     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
BALTIMORE MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
DOVER DE       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
WASHINGTON DC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
NORFOLK NAS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)
NORFOLK VA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
WALLOPS CDA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  12(15)
CAPE HATTERAS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
CAPE HATTERAS  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   9(13)
MOREHEAD CITY  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
MOREHEAD CITY  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
MAYPORT NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)
 
ORLANDO FL     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)
 
PATRICK AFB    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)
 
FT PIERCE FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)
 
W PALM BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)
 
MIAMI FL       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)
 
MARATHON FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)
 
MARCO ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)
 
GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   9(13)   7(20)   1(21)
GRAND BAHAMA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)
GRAND BAHAMA   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
NEW PROVIDENCE 34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   7(11)  23(34)   5(39)   1(40)
NEW PROVIDENCE 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   3(12)   X(12)
NEW PROVIDENCE 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)
 
ANDROS         34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   7(11)  19(30)   4(34)   X(34)
ANDROS         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
ANDROS         64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
GREAT EXUMA    34  X   1( 1)   7( 8)  19(27)  31(58)   3(61)   X(61)
GREAT EXUMA    50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  15(23)   3(26)   X(26)
GREAT EXUMA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
SAN SALVADOR   34  X   5( 5)  28(33)  21(54)  27(81)   2(83)   X(83)
SAN SALVADOR   50  X   1( 1)  11(12)  13(25)  21(46)   3(49)   X(49)
SAN SALVADOR   64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)  11(21)   2(23)   X(23)
 
MAYAGUANA      34  X   1( 1)   7( 8)  11(19)  23(42)   3(45)   X(45)
MAYAGUANA      50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   8(11)   1(12)   X(12)
MAYAGUANA      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
GRAND TURK     34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   8(14)   3(17)   X(17)
 
CAMAGUEY       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   6( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
 
GUANTANAMO BAY 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   5( 8)   2(10)   X(10)
 
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
PUERTO PLATA   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    
NNNN                                                                

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